The title just about sums it up. A 15.9pt loss on the day leaving us -2.39 points in total. Only found one interesting bet on tonights games unfortunately but hopefully it should get us back above sea level:
2pts Sevilla @2.34 (betfair): I had the misfortune of seeing the first game between these 2 teams where UU set about kicking Sevilla as their only gameplan. OK they have amassed 5pts to date but draws at home against Rangers and Stuttgart and a win against a Rangers team set on helping them in any way possible including scoring 2 goals for them doesn't look as impressive as their position in the table suggests and I wouldn't even have them as a certainty for UEFA cup football yet.
Tuesday, 24 November 2009
Wednesday, 4 November 2009
OK so the running profit to date is 13.51pts not bad considering that I haven't had a chance to update as regularly as I would like. This week all our punting takes 2nd place to Ireland's attempts to get to South Africa. There are a few interesting bets which may help us drown our sorrows if we fail:
2pts Draw @ 4.4 Betfair (Ireland v France): Usually my write up on the second leg of a 2 leg match would go on about how these games always have more goals and hence less goals than your average game. However everything has a price that I start to get interested in it at. Suggesting that this game has a less than 23% of ending in a draw is a slight over-reaction. I know the last 10-15 mins of this game will likely be ridiculously gung-ho and open but even still we don't score many goals and the French don't need to get too ambitous in the early stages. Also if Ireland were to get an early goal it would put the pressure back on the French to search for an equaliser and they have the players to hurt any defence when they stop fighting each other and put their minds to playing football. If we do manage to win I'm sure no one will mond losing their cash on this one!
Buy total goals 2 pt per goal @ 12.7 Sporting Index (this is the total on the 5 WC Qualifiers inc Uruguay v Costa Rica): As i said above second legs always have a higher average number of goals mainly due to a frantic last 20 mins this combines all the games and reduces the spread for us. Get stuck in.
0.5pts Richard Dunne to score first 33/1 (Ladbrokes): We are going to persist with this as Ireland are most dangerous when they get a set piece and he is one of our key target men. If we do get the breakthrough he could be the one to do it for us.
2pts Draw @ 4.4 Betfair (Ireland v France): Usually my write up on the second leg of a 2 leg match would go on about how these games always have more goals and hence less goals than your average game. However everything has a price that I start to get interested in it at. Suggesting that this game has a less than 23% of ending in a draw is a slight over-reaction. I know the last 10-15 mins of this game will likely be ridiculously gung-ho and open but even still we don't score many goals and the French don't need to get too ambitous in the early stages. Also if Ireland were to get an early goal it would put the pressure back on the French to search for an equaliser and they have the players to hurt any defence when they stop fighting each other and put their minds to playing football. If we do manage to win I'm sure no one will mond losing their cash on this one!
Buy total goals 2 pt per goal @ 12.7 Sporting Index (this is the total on the 5 WC Qualifiers inc Uruguay v Costa Rica): As i said above second legs always have a higher average number of goals mainly due to a frantic last 20 mins this combines all the games and reduces the spread for us. Get stuck in.
0.5pts Richard Dunne to score first 33/1 (Ladbrokes): We are going to persist with this as Ireland are most dangerous when they get a set piece and he is one of our key target men. If we do get the breakthrough he could be the one to do it for us.
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