OK today sees the first day of Galway and despite it's reputation as a bookies benefit we will be trying to make a few quid out of it for the first 2 days at least. However this week also sees the European athlethics championships take place and as usual the bookies don't really seem to know how to price it up.
We will start with the mens 400m an event which Ireland has very strong claims for a medal with David Gillick. As a result the Irish bookies seem to have skewed their prices a bit towards him. He was originally installed as 5/2 joint favourite with Boyles but some sort of sense seems to be coming to the market now with Jonathon Borlee hardening into 2/1 favourite although that still looks a little too big for me with him having run nearly 2/10ths of a second faster than any other European this year. In fact you could argue that Gillick should only be 3rd fav behind his training partner Rooney who definitely has the ability to pull a big run out of the bag here and take home the title. I see Borlee just holding him off though with Gillick getting up for the bronze.
1pt Borlee 2/1 (general)
The 100m sees convicted drugs cheat Chambers try to taint another championship by defeating the fastest white man in the world ever Lemaitre. Lemaitre has been running faster this year and hopefully for the sake of the Championship as well as the blog he can deliver on the European stage. The early 2/1 with ladbrokes has been taken but the 7/4 generally available still looks tempting
1pt Lemaitre 7/4
Some people would be suspicious about a woman who hasn't raced for over 2 years turning up at a track as a 30 year old and running over 2/10ths of a second faster than she has ever run before and over 4/10ths faster than her 2007 SB. However these are only the people who are too busy beating a path to bet365's door to lump on to her denying Laura Turner gold in the womens 100m
2pts Neumiarzhystkaya (try spelling that on a betting slip!) 7/4
And now back to Galway - Galway is a tight right handed track and as the ground dries out position is going to be important with prominent racers being favoured on the national hunt course.
In the first Fingal Rock does look to have a bit of class about him and the mare's allowance should ensure that if he is ridden prominently he can turn around form with Jerry Agent. However Jerrys Agent to be placed looks the bet of the race to me. This horse likes to make the running and the others will have to work hard to peg him back even allowing for the stiff uphill finish.
1.5pts Jerrys Agent to place (Betfair SP)
In the handicap hurdle Acclaimed looks like a progressive sort with a tendancy to track the leaders. I think he can improve again and taek advantage of a relatively light weight.
0.75pts e/w Acclaimed 12/1 (ladbrokes)
Given Welds record in the 7f maiden it isn't surprising to see A Word Apart as the favourite but I struggle to believe he should be so much ahead of Tashqeel in the betting. Tashqeel has shortened this morning but I think he will drift again once betting opens on course. The value each way on him is also phenomenal with several of the bookies paying 1/4 on all races today. I expect him to be at least 3s at the off but I will take the 11/4 now just in case with a bookies offering both 1/4 odds and best price guarantee
1pt e/w Tashqeel (Ladbrokes)
0.5pts e/w Lucky at Last 12/1 (Ladbrokes,PP) : has the right profile here and should run well.
Can't find anything in the next 2 races worth parting with any cash for. In the last though it may be worth a small bet on Apt Manor delivering for the Mullins after a long lay off
0.5pts Apt Manor 4/1 (VC, Stan James)
Monday, 26 July 2010
Wednesday, 14 July 2010
Back home - to the home of golf
OK not a fantastic WC and I didn't really get to post much during it although for the first week that was probably a blessing in disguise. I'm back home now temporarily so I'm hoping to put regular updates up for the next 2 weeks. After that I will total the P&L for the year and reset to 0 for the new season. I will be on the move for the new season so if there is not much posted during August you know why but from Champion Stakes day in September onwards there will be at least one post each weekend and hopefully regular midweek posts for any key race meetings and midweek football. So on to the golf
I have to start with Tiger. He's played at 2 Opens here winning in a majors record of -19 one year and with a -14 total (5 shots clear) the other. He claims its his favourite course in the world and it is perfectly suited to his game so long as he can get a bit of confidence in his putting. He also has more or less the ideal tee time of 9.09am tomorrow when according to the Met Office the wind should be at its lowest and he should be completing his round before the visibility starts deteriorating.
Based on this the 7/1 that Hills were offering looks lunacy. Unfortunately that is gone now but there is still plenty of value in the 13/2 still available.
1.5pts Woods to win 13/2 (WH, Skybet, Coral)
Also given he has the ideal conditions on day one there is no harm in having a small bet on him to be first round leader. In previous St. Andrews opens he has started with 66 and 67. Anyone looking to back other players in this market should consult the forecast above and look for players teeing off at similar times to Tiger.
0.5pts Woods to be first round leader 18/1 (extrabet)
Paddy Power are paying 7 places, Boyles are paying 8 and 888sport are paying 6 at 1/3 of the odds so plenty of e/w value about this weekend. It might seem like overkill with the number of bets I put up but trust me the value you get on the place part of these bets is significant for example McIlroy is 9/2 on betfair for a top 5 finish yet you are getting 5/1 with an extra place being paid which prob should be a shade under 4/1
0.5pts e/w Rory McIlroy 15/1 (888sport)
0.5pts e/w Els 18/1 (88sport)
0.5pts e/w McDowell 33/1 (Powers)
0.25pts e/w Lowry 125/1 (888sport)
0.2pts e/w Chris Wood 80/1 (Paddy Power)
Also there are some interesting bets on the spreads where the spread supremacies just seem a little out of line with the fixed odds betting.
Buy Goggins/Roberts @3 for 0.1pts
Buy Kjeldson/Faldo @ 14 for 0.05pts
Buy Goydos/Hugo @ 6 for 0.1pts
For example in the Goydos Hugo match up above Goydos would be 1.48 in a match bet. In the Watney Wilson match up Watney would be 1.9 - that supremacy is also 6 which means either Goydos is huge value or Wilson is huge value or both. I think it is Goydos that is the best value here.
I have to start with Tiger. He's played at 2 Opens here winning in a majors record of -19 one year and with a -14 total (5 shots clear) the other. He claims its his favourite course in the world and it is perfectly suited to his game so long as he can get a bit of confidence in his putting. He also has more or less the ideal tee time of 9.09am tomorrow when according to the Met Office the wind should be at its lowest and he should be completing his round before the visibility starts deteriorating.
| Date | Time | Weather | Temp | Wind | Visibility | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dir | Speed | Gust | |||||
| Wed 14 Jul | 2200 |  | 13 °C | NNE | 20 mph | Moderate | |
| Thu 15 Jul | 0100 | | 13 °C | NNE | 17 mph | Good | |
| 0400 |  | 13 °C | NNE | 13 mph | Poor | ||
| 0700 |  | 13 °C | NE | 9 mph | Poor | ||
| 1000 |  | 14 °C | E | 3 mph | Good | ||
| 1300 | | 17 °C | S | 2 mph | 15 mph | Poor | |
| 1600 | | 19 °C | SSW | 12 mph | 24 mph | Poor | |
| 1900 |  | 18 °C | SSW | 14 mph | Very Good | ||
| Night | | 11 °C | S | 15 mph | Poor | ||
1.5pts Woods to win 13/2 (WH, Skybet, Coral)
Also given he has the ideal conditions on day one there is no harm in having a small bet on him to be first round leader. In previous St. Andrews opens he has started with 66 and 67. Anyone looking to back other players in this market should consult the forecast above and look for players teeing off at similar times to Tiger.
0.5pts Woods to be first round leader 18/1 (extrabet)
Paddy Power are paying 7 places, Boyles are paying 8 and 888sport are paying 6 at 1/3 of the odds so plenty of e/w value about this weekend. It might seem like overkill with the number of bets I put up but trust me the value you get on the place part of these bets is significant for example McIlroy is 9/2 on betfair for a top 5 finish yet you are getting 5/1 with an extra place being paid which prob should be a shade under 4/1
0.5pts e/w Rory McIlroy 15/1 (888sport)
0.5pts e/w Els 18/1 (88sport)
0.5pts e/w McDowell 33/1 (Powers)
0.25pts e/w Lowry 125/1 (888sport)
0.2pts e/w Chris Wood 80/1 (Paddy Power)
Also there are some interesting bets on the spreads where the spread supremacies just seem a little out of line with the fixed odds betting.
Buy Goggins/Roberts @3 for 0.1pts
Buy Kjeldson/Faldo @ 14 for 0.05pts
Buy Goydos/Hugo @ 6 for 0.1pts
For example in the Goydos Hugo match up above Goydos would be 1.48 in a match bet. In the Watney Wilson match up Watney would be 1.9 - that supremacy is also 6 which means either Goydos is huge value or Wilson is huge value or both. I think it is Goydos that is the best value here.
Monday, 7 June 2010
Outrights and specials
Ok so if you look at the history of the golden boot the winner almost always come from a team that has reached at least the semi-finals which isn't really that surprising given that you get 2 extra games if you are a QF winner rather than a loser and also winning teams will tend to be scoring more goals. Another key thing to look at though is where the goals will come from in the group stage. No winner since Stoichkov has won without scoring at least 3 goals in the group stages. so a few easy games early on are key. Also worth bearing in mind that for the really strong teams who have qualified after 2 games they may be resting their key players in the 3rd game.
It is not hard to see why Villa is favourite playing for Spain with a strong supply and a game against Honduras to boost his tally. However when you look at the match odds Brazil are the team with the easiest game on paper versus North Korea and are also odds on favourites in their other 2 games. They have to be fancied to go close and with Fabiano as their only out and out striker compared to a Spanish team which will be sharing the goals around. Fabiano was top goalscorer in South American qualifying and is available at 4 points bigger than Villa - get on!
1.5pts Fabiano 12/1 (general)
Another player that does look interesting is Gilardino. I think this Italy team is too old to be retaining their trophy but I do expect them to hang around for a while and if Gilardino get the nod up front the 14/1 on him being one of the top 4 goalscorers is definitely interesting when you throw in the prospect of a game against New Zealand in the group stages.
0.5pts Gilardino Top 4 goalscorers 15.0 (Betfair)
Sticking with goalscorers VC have some interesting match bets priced up although they have taken down the best which was RVP vs Tevez. There is still value is backing Rooney at 10/11 to outscore Ronaldo. He is likely to get a few more games and England have been performing a lot better than the Portuguese recently.
1.5pts Rooney (v Ronaldo) 10/11 (VC)
And now on from goals to disallowed goals. You can sell disallowed goals with sportingindex at 24.5 which looks massive to me (esp when you consider this does not include extra time)
Sell "Shocking decision ref' at 24.5 for 1.5pts a goals (sportingindex)
It is not hard to see why Villa is favourite playing for Spain with a strong supply and a game against Honduras to boost his tally. However when you look at the match odds Brazil are the team with the easiest game on paper versus North Korea and are also odds on favourites in their other 2 games. They have to be fancied to go close and with Fabiano as their only out and out striker compared to a Spanish team which will be sharing the goals around. Fabiano was top goalscorer in South American qualifying and is available at 4 points bigger than Villa - get on!
1.5pts Fabiano 12/1 (general)
Another player that does look interesting is Gilardino. I think this Italy team is too old to be retaining their trophy but I do expect them to hang around for a while and if Gilardino get the nod up front the 14/1 on him being one of the top 4 goalscorers is definitely interesting when you throw in the prospect of a game against New Zealand in the group stages.
0.5pts Gilardino Top 4 goalscorers 15.0 (Betfair)
Sticking with goalscorers VC have some interesting match bets priced up although they have taken down the best which was RVP vs Tevez. There is still value is backing Rooney at 10/11 to outscore Ronaldo. He is likely to get a few more games and England have been performing a lot better than the Portuguese recently.
1.5pts Rooney (v Ronaldo) 10/11 (VC)
And now on from goals to disallowed goals. You can sell disallowed goals with sportingindex at 24.5 which looks massive to me (esp when you consider this does not include extra time)
Sell "Shocking decision ref' at 24.5 for 1.5pts a goals (sportingindex)
Saturday, 22 May 2010
15 days to go
OK so the weekend has boosted us back up to +47.8pts.
Now its time to start on the WC. Just a quick overview on our betting strategy for the next few weeks. As well as the usual search for over-hyped teams and over-reactions we will be looking a lot at the chances of games being draws. Some stage of the competition are gravy for opposing draws and others are just as good for backing the draw. In the group stages I will also be looking at the impact of the game order on the group outcomes. Altitude will be considered as from my own experience of trying to run up a hill here indicates that it may be more of a factor than people anticipate. I'm going to start with the groups preview then move on to the outrights and specials markets and after that we will start looking at individual games.
OK so lets start.
Group A - this is a messy group. France should prevail due to the weakness of the other teams. South Africa are hosts and the atmosphere will be electric so they could spring a surprise and get second, but this is not a group I have any interest in betting on.
Group B: My general thoery on game order is that it is a big advantage for a team fighting for second to play the weakest team first and athe strongest team last. Several reasons. Firstly winning the first game while the team you are fighting against for second play the strongest team means you go into the second game against them with 3 points and quite happy with a draw while they have zero and are desperately in need of points on the board. This puts all the pressure on the other team which can only be a positive thing. Playing the strongest team last meana their is a reasonable chance they will already have 6 points and may rest some key players to avoid injury/suspension especially given that all yellow cards are wiped after the group stage. Greece play Korea in their first game. Korea struggle to defend set pieces - one of Greeces key strengths. An opening win for the Greeks puts them in good nick going into the game against Nigeria where a draw should be sufficient. If Argentina win their opening 2 games it is very unlikely Mascherano will play the 3rd game and if I was manager neither would Messi. So Greece have to be the call here to sneak second place.
1.5pts Greece to qualify 6/4 (Coral)
Group C: Again in this group the USA are at a disadvantage through playing England first. I can make a case for both Slovenia and Algeria qualifying as I think both are vastly under-rated. It should be remembered that Slovenia qualified based on a 2 leg playoff win over Russia while Algeria beat Egypt (ANC Winners) to get here.
1.5pts USA not to qualify 5/4 (888sport)
0.5pts Algeria to qualify 4/1 (general)
Group D: In this group I really like Ghana. They went into the African Cup with most of their big name players injured but the young players from last years U-19 winning WC team stepped up to the mark and produced a very cohesive performance to get 3rd. If the coach gets the balance between youth and experience right here Ghana could be the most successful of the African teams at this world cup. However looking at the prices there seems some inconsistency. Ghana and Serbia are roughly the same prices to beat Germany and Australia, to qualify Serbia are 1.97 and Ghana are 2.32 but in the match between the 2 sides you can get 3.7 on Ghana to win and 2.32 on Serbia so I'm going to be ignoring the to qualify market and have a big bet on Ghana to win the opener - will post that in the game preview section.
Group E: No bet here. Denmark are the ssecond best team but do have a tough opener against the Dutch. I think they will be strong enough mentally to overcome that disadvantage but not looking to get any cash involved.
Group F: Slovakia have everything in their favour here in terms of game order and for a team that topped their Euro qualifying group to be such underdogs to Paraguay seems incredible to me. Their is even a chance that Slovakia could be good enough to squeeze past an aging Italian side for first. SO with Italy and Slovakia fighting it out for first and second backing Paraguay for 3rd looks a good bet to me.
2pts Paraguay to come 3rd 5/2 (Bodog)
1pt Slovakia to win Group F 15/2 (VC)
Group G: Very similar price anomaly to the Ghana group here. I personally think Sven is the perfect manager to get the best out of Ivory Coasts underperforming stars. Portugal have been disappointing in qualifying and as I write this I see they've just had a 0-0 draw with the mighty Cape Verde Islands although I'm not sure who they had playing. Looking at the prices though the best value is again is having a big bet on Ivory Coast to win the opener against Portugal.
Group H: Here Chile have the ideal game order with a high probabilty of facing a weakened Spanish team in their final game. Given that I think they have to be backed to qualify at Switzerlands expense.
1.5pts Chile to qualify 8/11 (Coral, extrabet)
Now its time to start on the WC. Just a quick overview on our betting strategy for the next few weeks. As well as the usual search for over-hyped teams and over-reactions we will be looking a lot at the chances of games being draws. Some stage of the competition are gravy for opposing draws and others are just as good for backing the draw. In the group stages I will also be looking at the impact of the game order on the group outcomes. Altitude will be considered as from my own experience of trying to run up a hill here indicates that it may be more of a factor than people anticipate. I'm going to start with the groups preview then move on to the outrights and specials markets and after that we will start looking at individual games.
OK so lets start.
Group A - this is a messy group. France should prevail due to the weakness of the other teams. South Africa are hosts and the atmosphere will be electric so they could spring a surprise and get second, but this is not a group I have any interest in betting on.
Group B: My general thoery on game order is that it is a big advantage for a team fighting for second to play the weakest team first and athe strongest team last. Several reasons. Firstly winning the first game while the team you are fighting against for second play the strongest team means you go into the second game against them with 3 points and quite happy with a draw while they have zero and are desperately in need of points on the board. This puts all the pressure on the other team which can only be a positive thing. Playing the strongest team last meana their is a reasonable chance they will already have 6 points and may rest some key players to avoid injury/suspension especially given that all yellow cards are wiped after the group stage. Greece play Korea in their first game. Korea struggle to defend set pieces - one of Greeces key strengths. An opening win for the Greeks puts them in good nick going into the game against Nigeria where a draw should be sufficient. If Argentina win their opening 2 games it is very unlikely Mascherano will play the 3rd game and if I was manager neither would Messi. So Greece have to be the call here to sneak second place.
1.5pts Greece to qualify 6/4 (Coral)
Group C: Again in this group the USA are at a disadvantage through playing England first. I can make a case for both Slovenia and Algeria qualifying as I think both are vastly under-rated. It should be remembered that Slovenia qualified based on a 2 leg playoff win over Russia while Algeria beat Egypt (ANC Winners) to get here.
1.5pts USA not to qualify 5/4 (888sport)
0.5pts Algeria to qualify 4/1 (general)
Group D: In this group I really like Ghana. They went into the African Cup with most of their big name players injured but the young players from last years U-19 winning WC team stepped up to the mark and produced a very cohesive performance to get 3rd. If the coach gets the balance between youth and experience right here Ghana could be the most successful of the African teams at this world cup. However looking at the prices there seems some inconsistency. Ghana and Serbia are roughly the same prices to beat Germany and Australia, to qualify Serbia are 1.97 and Ghana are 2.32 but in the match between the 2 sides you can get 3.7 on Ghana to win and 2.32 on Serbia so I'm going to be ignoring the to qualify market and have a big bet on Ghana to win the opener - will post that in the game preview section.
Group E: No bet here. Denmark are the ssecond best team but do have a tough opener against the Dutch. I think they will be strong enough mentally to overcome that disadvantage but not looking to get any cash involved.
Group F: Slovakia have everything in their favour here in terms of game order and for a team that topped their Euro qualifying group to be such underdogs to Paraguay seems incredible to me. Their is even a chance that Slovakia could be good enough to squeeze past an aging Italian side for first. SO with Italy and Slovakia fighting it out for first and second backing Paraguay for 3rd looks a good bet to me.
2pts Paraguay to come 3rd 5/2 (Bodog)
1pt Slovakia to win Group F 15/2 (VC)
Group G: Very similar price anomaly to the Ghana group here. I personally think Sven is the perfect manager to get the best out of Ivory Coasts underperforming stars. Portugal have been disappointing in qualifying and as I write this I see they've just had a 0-0 draw with the mighty Cape Verde Islands although I'm not sure who they had playing. Looking at the prices though the best value is again is having a big bet on Ivory Coast to win the opener against Portugal.
Group H: Here Chile have the ideal game order with a high probabilty of facing a weakened Spanish team in their final game. Given that I think they have to be backed to qualify at Switzerlands expense.
1.5pts Chile to qualify 8/11 (Coral, extrabet)
Friday, 21 May 2010
OK as far as I can make out from going back through the records we have decimated our profits to +29pts. Fortunately I expect to get the blog back on track with the world cup on the horizon but first just a few bits on todays sport.
2pts e/w Canford Cliffs 3/1 (WH) - Currragh 3.45: Very classy horse 3rd in the English equivalent and can get his rewards here today.
1.5pts win Markhab 9/2 (Lads) - Curragh 3.10: Lads are out of line here and he is much shorter in most other places after a win first time out this season. Hard to be enthusiatic about an O'Brien horse that is aimed at bigger things running in a G3 on his seasons debut.
0.75pts e/w Choose Me 15/2 (VC) - Curragh 4.20 - theonly onewho seems likely to be able to put it up to the favourite and massive value on the place part here.
0.75 pts e/w Break Serve 8/1 (VC Lads) - Lingfield 8.00 - no strength in depth in this race and it would be a shock if he doesn't at least place here with the benefit of a warm up run.
1pt e/w Hamish McGonagall 9/2 (Lads) - York 3.40: shorter for both win and place on betfair. You can play to lay or just ride it out. I think you know which options I'll be taking!
2pts e/w Canford Cliffs 3/1 (WH) - Currragh 3.45: Very classy horse 3rd in the English equivalent and can get his rewards here today.
1.5pts win Markhab 9/2 (Lads) - Curragh 3.10: Lads are out of line here and he is much shorter in most other places after a win first time out this season. Hard to be enthusiatic about an O'Brien horse that is aimed at bigger things running in a G3 on his seasons debut.
0.75pts e/w Choose Me 15/2 (VC) - Curragh 4.20 - theonly onewho seems likely to be able to put it up to the favourite and massive value on the place part here.
0.75 pts e/w Break Serve 8/1 (VC Lads) - Lingfield 8.00 - no strength in depth in this race and it would be a shock if he doesn't at least place here with the benefit of a warm up run.
1pt e/w Hamish McGonagall 9/2 (Lads) - York 3.40: shorter for both win and place on betfair. You can play to lay or just ride it out. I think you know which options I'll be taking!
Saturday, 15 May 2010
Sat bits and pieces
0.5pts e/w Conceptual Art - Newmarket 4.35 20/1 (VC): can improve on debut to feature here and will show a good return on the place part even if he does come up short against the jolly.
0.75pts e/w Border Fusion - Bangor 5.45 10/3 (VC, Paddy Power): a solid performer who although not as good as Ice Tea is a more consistent sort. With the market suggesting that this is at best a 4 horse race we can be pretty confident of collecting the place money and just have to hope Ice Tea doesn't quite fancy it today to land the win part too.
1pt win Red Jester Uttoxeter 7.25 5/1 (general): question marks about all the other market leaders either abilities or temperament. This is a solid horse who ran consistently well last season. Can get himself off to a winning start for the season here.
0.75pts e/w Anne of Kiev - Doncaster8.10 5/1 (general): this horse should start a little shorter and nice value on the place part of the bet.
0.75pts e/w Bilash - Doncaster8.40 9/1 (VC): should be a lot closer to the 2 market leaders in price imo. Can pput it up to Humidor for the honours here.
1.5pts win Kerb Appeal - Kilbeggan 6.40 11/10 (general): a solid 3rd in a grade 2 behind runaway winner Western Leader is comfrtably the best form on offer here and assuming that the last day was just a blip he can comfortably account for these including the improving 2nd fav One back for Luck.
0.75pts e/w Border Fusion - Bangor 5.45 10/3 (VC, Paddy Power): a solid performer who although not as good as Ice Tea is a more consistent sort. With the market suggesting that this is at best a 4 horse race we can be pretty confident of collecting the place money and just have to hope Ice Tea doesn't quite fancy it today to land the win part too.
1pt win Red Jester Uttoxeter 7.25 5/1 (general): question marks about all the other market leaders either abilities or temperament. This is a solid horse who ran consistently well last season. Can get himself off to a winning start for the season here.
0.75pts e/w Anne of Kiev - Doncaster8.10 5/1 (general): this horse should start a little shorter and nice value on the place part of the bet.
0.75pts e/w Bilash - Doncaster8.40 9/1 (VC): should be a lot closer to the 2 market leaders in price imo. Can pput it up to Humidor for the honours here.
1.5pts win Kerb Appeal - Kilbeggan 6.40 11/10 (general): a solid 3rd in a grade 2 behind runaway winner Western Leader is comfrtably the best form on offer here and assuming that the last day was just a blip he can comfortably account for these including the improving 2nd fav One back for Luck.
Thursday, 13 May 2010
Blog is back
Ok lads I've been doing a lot of travel recently and haven't got a chance to update here. But am now back on the gambling thread and starting into my research for the WC. I will hopefully have some thoughts onthat to post in the next few days along with an updated P&L position. For the mean time it is playoff weekend this weekend so should be some value knocking around there:
0.2pts Yankee Draws in all 4 League 1 & 2 play-off 1st legs (Betfred - 9/4, 23/10, 12/5, 5/2): Goals will be at a premium here with very little between the sides and a cautious approach likely making draws a lot more likely.
2pts Draw Swindon v Charlton 23/10 (Coral, Sky bet)
2pts Draw Huddersfield v Millwall 23/10 (Betfred, BlueSq, Coral, 888)
2pts Draw Aldershot v Rotherham 12/5 (general)
2pts Draw D&R v Morecombe 5/2 (Betfred)
1.5pts under 2.5 goals Swindon v Charlton 1.82 (Betfair)
0.5pts Charlton to win 1-0 10.5 (Betfair) - a good price on what is the most likely scenario to unhinge are draw bet.
0.2pts Yankee Draws in all 4 League 1 & 2 play-off 1st legs (Betfred - 9/4, 23/10, 12/5, 5/2): Goals will be at a premium here with very little between the sides and a cautious approach likely making draws a lot more likely.
2pts Draw Swindon v Charlton 23/10 (Coral, Sky bet)
2pts Draw Huddersfield v Millwall 23/10 (Betfred, BlueSq, Coral, 888)
2pts Draw Aldershot v Rotherham 12/5 (general)
2pts Draw D&R v Morecombe 5/2 (Betfred)
1.5pts under 2.5 goals Swindon v Charlton 1.82 (Betfair)
0.5pts Charlton to win 1-0 10.5 (Betfair) - a good price on what is the most likely scenario to unhinge are draw bet.
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