2pts Lyon to win 6/4 (Skybet)
1.5 pts over 2.5 goals 2.16 (Betfair)
Tuesday, 27 April 2010
Wednesday, 21 April 2010
Denmans Day
In a break from tradition we seem to have won some money yesterday. Here are todays picks
4pts Denman win 7/4 (Coral)
1.5pts e/w Arabella Boy 7/1 (Paddy Power)
0.75pts e/w J'y Vole 13/2 (Lads)
4pts Denman win 7/4 (Coral)
1.5pts e/w Arabella Boy 7/1 (Paddy Power)
0.75pts e/w J'y Vole 13/2 (Lads)
Tuesday, 20 April 2010
CL 1st legs
2pt Draw Barcelona v Inter 23/10 (888Sport) - same logic we have followed the whole way through the knockout stages
2pts Draw Bayern v Lyon 3.9 (Betfair)
1pt double on the draws 12.5 (Betfair)
2pts Lyon to qualify 2.56 (Betfair) - decent team whith home advantage for the second leg
2pts under 2.5 goals 2.0 Lyon game (betfair) - goals are always hard to come by in the first legs of these games
2pts Draw Bayern v Lyon 3.9 (Betfair)
1pt double on the draws 12.5 (Betfair)
2pts Lyon to qualify 2.56 (Betfair) - decent team whith home advantage for the second leg
2pts under 2.5 goals 2.0 Lyon game (betfair) - goals are always hard to come by in the first legs of these games
Monday, 19 April 2010
End of Season racing
The last of the real racing festivals until November starts today!
1.5pts e/w Kalahari King 5.7 and 1.95 (Betfair)- impressive at Cheltenham and has obviously progressed well this season. The pace will be too strong for TM to win this with just his kick and Forpadytheplasterer has prob had one too many races this season (if he had skipped Aintree I would not oppose here). Big step up for Sizing and KK can get just rewards here.
0.5pts Golden Silver to place 4.5 (Betfair) - with doubts over a lot othe horses ahead of him in the market its worth a small play here. Alos helped by the fact that a lot of people are convinced that he needs softer ground to beat the best.
1.5pts win Blackstairmountain 5.9 (Betfair) - I think General Miller is a very good horse but slightly flattered by beating Menorah at Aintree (very hard for any horse to get the double). Blackstarimountain just failed to beat the under-rated Luska Lad in goround he hated th last day and if that hasn't left him drained he will put in a big show here.
1.5pts place BSM 2.1 (Betfair) - see above
1pt e/w Jadanli 8/1 (Ladbrokes) - quite a price for the best horse in the race. Obviously concerns over how much the race the last day took out of him but the extra distance will suit and definitely the one to beat here.
I'll post footbal and anything else later.
1.5pts e/w Kalahari King 5.7 and 1.95 (Betfair)- impressive at Cheltenham and has obviously progressed well this season. The pace will be too strong for TM to win this with just his kick and Forpadytheplasterer has prob had one too many races this season (if he had skipped Aintree I would not oppose here). Big step up for Sizing and KK can get just rewards here.
0.5pts Golden Silver to place 4.5 (Betfair) - with doubts over a lot othe horses ahead of him in the market its worth a small play here. Alos helped by the fact that a lot of people are convinced that he needs softer ground to beat the best.
1.5pts win Blackstairmountain 5.9 (Betfair) - I think General Miller is a very good horse but slightly flattered by beating Menorah at Aintree (very hard for any horse to get the double). Blackstarimountain just failed to beat the under-rated Luska Lad in goround he hated th last day and if that hasn't left him drained he will put in a big show here.
1.5pts place BSM 2.1 (Betfair) - see above
1pt e/w Jadanli 8/1 (Ladbrokes) - quite a price for the best horse in the race. Obviously concerns over how much the race the last day took out of him but the extra distance will suit and definitely the one to beat here.
I'll post footbal and anything else later.
Friday, 16 April 2010
Downward spiral continues
The last few games of the season always provide some value so hopefully they can help pull us out of our current downward spiral.
1pt Middlesboro 10/3 (Coral) - A team who still has a chance of forcing their way back into the playoff picture against a team whose season is already over. The difference in motivation can be key here.
1.5pts Cardiff 9/5 (Lads) - Cardiff will be looking to ensure a home 2nd leg for the playoffs and bookies seem to underestimate their motivation here going very short on QPR who need points to guarantee their survival.
1pt Crystal Palace 11/5 (Betfred) - for once I disagree with MH on this one. Palace have been the better team over the past few months and if their manager can use the points deductions and their need for points for survival to their advantage then their is value in their price here.
2pts Rotherham 1.88 (Betfair) - Rotherham still have a vague chance of automatic promotion and apart from that still face a very tough time to try to secure home 2nd leg for the play-offs. Against a team just above the relegation zone who although precarious should survive. R'ham are way too short here bearing that in mind.
1pt Wolves 3/1 (SJ, Skybet) - Fulham will be distracted by their European semi-final next week and are unlikely to go full out for a game that is largely meaningless to them.
1pt Middlesboro 10/3 (Coral) - A team who still has a chance of forcing their way back into the playoff picture against a team whose season is already over. The difference in motivation can be key here.
1.5pts Cardiff 9/5 (Lads) - Cardiff will be looking to ensure a home 2nd leg for the playoffs and bookies seem to underestimate their motivation here going very short on QPR who need points to guarantee their survival.
1pt Crystal Palace 11/5 (Betfred) - for once I disagree with MH on this one. Palace have been the better team over the past few months and if their manager can use the points deductions and their need for points for survival to their advantage then their is value in their price here.
2pts Rotherham 1.88 (Betfair) - Rotherham still have a vague chance of automatic promotion and apart from that still face a very tough time to try to secure home 2nd leg for the play-offs. Against a team just above the relegation zone who although precarious should survive. R'ham are way too short here bearing that in mind.
1pt Wolves 3/1 (SJ, Skybet) - Fulham will be distracted by their European semi-final next week and are unlikely to go full out for a game that is largely meaningless to them.
Thursday, 15 April 2010
Tuesday, 13 April 2010
Off the bar
Another day of near misses sees out losses accumulate - i'll do up a P&L shortly. Meanwhile a lot of bets worth looking at today. Apologies for the lack of explanations recently - dodging plastic bullets and tear gas canisters has limited my time online!
1.5pts e/w Big Bad Billy Bob 8/1 (Lads) - LK 4.55
0.75pts e/w Leos Lucky Angel 14/1 (Lads, VC) - LK 5.55
1pt e/w Royal And Ancient 10/1 (general) - LK 6.25
1pt e/w Birragurra 11/2 (VC) - LK6.55
1pt e/w Tipper Road 11/1 (Paddy Power) - LK7.25
1pt e/w French LEave 8/1 (Lads) - Exeter 2.10
1pt e/w Whenever 3/1 (VC) - Exeter 2.40
1pt e/w Gay Mirage 9/2 (general) Ponte 2.50
1pt e/w Distant Memory 9/1 (WH, SJ) Ponte 4.20
1pt win Sgt Schultz 4/1 (WH) Ponte 5.20
1pt e/w Knightfire 9/2 (VC, WH) Yarmouth 3.30
Wow that is a big day for a day with absolutely nothing of any quality running but GAMBLE!
1.5pts e/w Big Bad Billy Bob 8/1 (Lads) - LK 4.55
0.75pts e/w Leos Lucky Angel 14/1 (Lads, VC) - LK 5.55
1pt e/w Royal And Ancient 10/1 (general) - LK 6.25
1pt e/w Birragurra 11/2 (VC) - LK6.55
1pt e/w Tipper Road 11/1 (Paddy Power) - LK7.25
1pt e/w French LEave 8/1 (Lads) - Exeter 2.10
1pt e/w Whenever 3/1 (VC) - Exeter 2.40
1pt e/w Gay Mirage 9/2 (general) Ponte 2.50
1pt e/w Distant Memory 9/1 (WH, SJ) Ponte 4.20
1pt win Sgt Schultz 4/1 (WH) Ponte 5.20
1pt e/w Knightfire 9/2 (VC, WH) Yarmouth 3.30
Wow that is a big day for a day with absolutely nothing of any quality running but GAMBLE!
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