OK profit for a pretty interupted season to date is +9.32pts. To try to get more frequent and timely tips out though a lot of the blog will now be covered on twitter. There will still be ante-post previews of Cheltenham and some weekend previews up here but if there is nothing up here by lunchtime on a Saturday then all remaining weekend tips will be by tweet.
If you want to follow me it is Gambrose888 you are looking for.
Thursday, 27 January 2011
Saturday, 20 November 2010
Saturday Football
4pts QPR @1/2 (Betfred): The second best team in the league at home to relegation fodder. This should be a straightforward task for QPR to get back on track after a lot of draws recently.
0.5pts e/w Mackie to score first 11/2 e/w (Bet365): In what should be a straight forward game for QPR there should be plenty of opportunities for him to add to his tally of 8 for the season.
1pt Wolves @ 21/10 (VCbet, Betfred): Blackpool continue to be over-rated and wolves can take the points here in the relegation 6 pointer.
1.5pts Mainz @ 2/1(bet365): Mainz have started to come back down to earth the last few week but seems a bit of an over-reaction to their troubles. BM continue to leak goals at an alarming rate and cannot be trusted to do the business here.
1pt over2.5 goals BM v Mainz 1.91(Betfair): as said above BM conceed a lot of goals (33 in 12 games to date) and so it could be a very open encouter on the cards here.
1pt Freiburg @9/2 (Stan James): should be about 10/3 for this game. Up against it here but the value is definitely on our side.
1pt Leverkusen @2/1 (bet365, VC, Lads): Not as much between these 2 sides as the prices suggest and Leverkusen can take advantage of home comforts.
1.5pts e/w Ronaldo to score first @ 13/5 (bet365): an ok price for him to score first but you are getting crazy value on him to score anytime.
0.5pts e/w Mackie to score first 11/2 e/w (Bet365): In what should be a straight forward game for QPR there should be plenty of opportunities for him to add to his tally of 8 for the season.
1pt Wolves @ 21/10 (VCbet, Betfred): Blackpool continue to be over-rated and wolves can take the points here in the relegation 6 pointer.
1.5pts Mainz @ 2/1(bet365): Mainz have started to come back down to earth the last few week but seems a bit of an over-reaction to their troubles. BM continue to leak goals at an alarming rate and cannot be trusted to do the business here.
1pt over2.5 goals BM v Mainz 1.91(Betfair): as said above BM conceed a lot of goals (33 in 12 games to date) and so it could be a very open encouter on the cards here.
1pt Freiburg @9/2 (Stan James): should be about 10/3 for this game. Up against it here but the value is definitely on our side.
1pt Leverkusen @2/1 (bet365, VC, Lads): Not as much between these 2 sides as the prices suggest and Leverkusen can take advantage of home comforts.
1.5pts e/w Ronaldo to score first @ 13/5 (bet365): an ok price for him to score first but you are getting crazy value on him to score anytime.
Expect another Commanding performance
2.2pts Imperial Commander @10/11 3.25 Haydock: Should have won this last year going down by a nose to Kauto. Has a good record fresh and is about a stone better than the rest of these horses. He is the best chaser in training and should be considerably shorter in my book.
1.5pts Zaynar @15/8 2.35 Ascot; Never a big fan of this guy but you can't argue with 3rd in both the Champion Hurdle and Aintree. Won this last year and with Karabak being cut back in trip you would have to think it will suit him more than his main rival. Nicholl's runner is obviously a good horse but he is being thrown in at the deep end here.
0.5pts e/w King Edmund @ 9/1 (bet365) : The favourite here could be anything and will probably win but I would make this guy the pick of the rest.
1pt Quinola Des Obeaux 30.0 (Betfair) Huntingdon 1.05: The favourite here always struggled to jump hurdles and I feel it is only a matter of time before that proves his undoing over fences. QdO has seen a racecourse much - 2 easy bumper wins before a flop at Cheltenham and then a good hurdle win before picking up an injury next time out. If fit to go here he can have a real crack at this.
Football to follow about 1pm
1.5pts Zaynar @15/8 2.35 Ascot; Never a big fan of this guy but you can't argue with 3rd in both the Champion Hurdle and Aintree. Won this last year and with Karabak being cut back in trip you would have to think it will suit him more than his main rival. Nicholl's runner is obviously a good horse but he is being thrown in at the deep end here.
0.5pts e/w King Edmund @ 9/1 (bet365) : The favourite here could be anything and will probably win but I would make this guy the pick of the rest.
1pt Quinola Des Obeaux 30.0 (Betfair) Huntingdon 1.05: The favourite here always struggled to jump hurdles and I feel it is only a matter of time before that proves his undoing over fences. QdO has seen a racecourse much - 2 easy bumper wins before a flop at Cheltenham and then a good hurdle win before picking up an injury next time out. If fit to go here he can have a real crack at this.
Football to follow about 1pm
Saturday, 13 November 2010
Part 3
2pts Cardiff @ evns: You are getting evens on what is arguably the best team in the Championship playing arguably the worst - get on.
0.5pts e/w Bothroyd to score first @11/2 (bet365): 11 goals in 16 games for far this season and should get plenty of chances today especially with Bellamy back in support
0.5pts e/w Bothroyd to score first @11/2 (bet365): 11 goals in 16 games for far this season and should get plenty of chances today especially with Bellamy back in support
Saturday Gamble part 2
0.75pts e/w Ballyfitz @ 12/1(bet365, Lads) 1.55 Cheltenham; Runs well fresh and is of an 8lb lower mark than when he came 4th in the Paddy Power last year. Jumping is as ever a concern but a leading contenders and def worth a bet at this price.
0.5pts e/w Any Currency @8/1 (Bet365) 1.55 Cheltenham: Has alight racing weight here and the trainer has already got a run into him this season. 4th in the marathon event here at the festival so no stamina concerns. Is a worthy favourite for this event.
2pts Long Run @ 7/2 (bet365) 2.35 Cheltenham: Will need to be quick to get this price. Very classy horse who was undone at the festival last season by a combination of his trainer taking too long to decide what his target race should be, a really fast run in the race previous to the festival and of course running against a horse that is always better at Chelt than anywhere else (Weapons Amnesty)
1pt e/w Mad Max @ 9/1 (bet365, Paddy Power); Both these bookies are paying 5 places so I couldn't resist also backing Hendersons second string. A phenomenal horse who prob won't be seen at his best here. Can be difficult for horses as big as this to deal with downhills but has run creditably here in the past so not hard to see him making the frame.
I'll post this now to let you get on the Long Run bet - part 3 to come
0.5pts e/w Any Currency @8/1 (Bet365) 1.55 Cheltenham: Has alight racing weight here and the trainer has already got a run into him this season. 4th in the marathon event here at the festival so no stamina concerns. Is a worthy favourite for this event.
2pts Long Run @ 7/2 (bet365) 2.35 Cheltenham: Will need to be quick to get this price. Very classy horse who was undone at the festival last season by a combination of his trainer taking too long to decide what his target race should be, a really fast run in the race previous to the festival and of course running against a horse that is always better at Chelt than anywhere else (Weapons Amnesty)
1pt e/w Mad Max @ 9/1 (bet365, Paddy Power); Both these bookies are paying 5 places so I couldn't resist also backing Hendersons second string. A phenomenal horse who prob won't be seen at his best here. Can be difficult for horses as big as this to deal with downhills but has run creditably here in the past so not hard to see him making the frame.
I'll post this now to let you get on the Long Run bet - part 3 to come
Saturday Gamble
OK going to be quick before the early kick off and racing start - this is part 1 of 2
1pt Aston Villa @ 5.9 (Betfair): Should be 7/2 and even though Villa haven't been playing very well neither have Man Utd. Man Utd have been poor especially on the road this season and have to be opposed at odds-on here.
2pts West Ham @ 10/11 (Paddy Power, Lads): Blackpool have set themselves up for a season of heroic failure. West Ham are gradually starting to find their feet after a very slow start. I do have concerns about their confidence but they have by far the better players and I had them down as about a 4/6 shot.
2pts Man City @ 4/9: Continue to be underestimated by the bookies
0.25pts e/w Pena Dorada @ 33/1 (bet365)
0.25pts e/w Zakeeeta @ 20.0 and 5.3 (Betfair) 12.50 Cheltenham: A few bookies have the 33s but not all are paying 1/4 the odds for a place so be sure to check that out. I think the top 2 in the market are over-hyped and so I am having small interests in 2 of the outsiders who have made decent starts to their hurdling careers.
1pt Aston Villa @ 5.9 (Betfair): Should be 7/2 and even though Villa haven't been playing very well neither have Man Utd. Man Utd have been poor especially on the road this season and have to be opposed at odds-on here.
2pts West Ham @ 10/11 (Paddy Power, Lads): Blackpool have set themselves up for a season of heroic failure. West Ham are gradually starting to find their feet after a very slow start. I do have concerns about their confidence but they have by far the better players and I had them down as about a 4/6 shot.
2pts Man City @ 4/9: Continue to be underestimated by the bookies
0.25pts e/w Pena Dorada @ 33/1 (bet365)
0.25pts e/w Zakeeeta @ 20.0 and 5.3 (Betfair) 12.50 Cheltenham: A few bookies have the 33s but not all are paying 1/4 the odds for a place so be sure to check that out. I think the top 2 in the market are over-hyped and so I am having small interests in 2 of the outsiders who have made decent starts to their hurdling careers.
Saturday, 30 October 2010
Satur
2pts Tidal Bay 11/4 - 2.50 Wetherby: This horse should be favourite here. On a line of form through Big Bucks everyone else has a bit to find on him. He's a very classy horse who has still put in some decent displays over the last 2 years despite not being at his best.
0.75pts e/w Knockara Beau @ 10/1(Lads, bet365, WH) - 3.25 Wetherby: There are no superstars in this and KB is the horse most likely to be improveing after a good end to last season including a 4th in the RSA behind Weapons Amnesty.
0.5pts e/w Don't Pay the Ferryman @ 8/1 (Boyles) - 5.10 Wetherby: Nice e/w value on a decent horse in this 16 runner handicap.
2pts Othermix @ 7/2 - Ascot 2.25 - Should be clear favourite here. Was second in the Jewson at the end of last season where he had China Rock behind. Previously had won G3 and placed in G1 hurdles over in France. Only a matter of time before getting the win he deserves over fences.
1pt King Edmund 13/2 (Stan James): Great novice chaser last season who made the frame on every completed start winning 3/5.
1.5pts Catch Me 7/2 (paddy Power): This is a 2 horse race that I expect Capt CB to win but 7/2 is way too big for a horse this good in a match bet.
0.75pts e/w Knockara Beau @ 10/1(Lads, bet365, WH) - 3.25 Wetherby: There are no superstars in this and KB is the horse most likely to be improveing after a good end to last season including a 4th in the RSA behind Weapons Amnesty.
0.5pts e/w Don't Pay the Ferryman @ 8/1 (Boyles) - 5.10 Wetherby: Nice e/w value on a decent horse in this 16 runner handicap.
2pts Othermix @ 7/2 - Ascot 2.25 - Should be clear favourite here. Was second in the Jewson at the end of last season where he had China Rock behind. Previously had won G3 and placed in G1 hurdles over in France. Only a matter of time before getting the win he deserves over fences.
1pt King Edmund 13/2 (Stan James): Great novice chaser last season who made the frame on every completed start winning 3/5.
1.5pts Catch Me 7/2 (paddy Power): This is a 2 horse race that I expect Capt CB to win but 7/2 is way too big for a horse this good in a match bet.
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