Great day yesterday with a profit of 17.76pts bringing us to 12.87pts overall. Hopefully we can build on that today.
1pt Made in Taipan 17/2 1.25 Leopardstown (Will Hill): Looks to be a bit overpriced based on his runs this season. No disgrace in losing out by 1/2L to Big Zeb the last time out and was still in contention when falling 2 out first time out against Tranquil Sea. Ground looks to be too good for Golden Silver to shine. Not expecting much from the rest who are mostly has beens or never was horses. I won't be surprised if Tranquil Sea has the beating of our choice but with the prices so far apart I have to side with Made in Taipan.
1.5pts Some Present 13/8 1.55 Leopardstown (Stan James): I'm finding it hard to get away from this horse. Comfortably best of the rest in the Royal Bond behind Dunguib and a solid run before that in Cheltenham. Probably the Ruby factor on Fionngas is what is keeping the price so attractive.
1pt e/w Bandstand 9/2 2.15 Southwell (Paddy Power): Purely an each way play with a well regarded newcomer.
1pt Petit Robin 9/4 2.40 Kempton (general): When you can find an excuse not to back every other horse in the race you got to take whats left. Crack Away Jack should in time develop into a good chaser but jumped poorly the last day out and it is one thing to school well it's another to do it on the track flat to the boards so had to scratch him. Fix the Rib is another horse that until I see him do something special I'm not going to believe he is special and no way I would make him second favourite here. I would love to see Well Chief do well but he isn't the same horse he was before injury despite some respectably results, also he is not getting any younger. Petit Robin always runs well fresh and you could easily argue that he only got beat by Well Chief at Cheltenham because he had the courage to try to beat Master Minded. He also has good scope for improvement over the summer months and I'll gladly side with him here.
Thats all for now but I will be trying to make some sense of the handicaps during the early races and if I find anything I will post it up. Happy punting.
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Crap just saw your posts from yesterday and today a while ago, just in time to get on Petit Robin, got him at 9/4, thank ee kindly! Will most defnitely buy you a pint when you get back. Keep up the good work ambrose!
ReplyDeleteJohn W