CL Tuesday

OK so back to some of the old reliables for our CL bets tonight.

Sell bookings for 0.2pts a point @36 Ajax v Milan (Sportingindex): Byrch is one of the most lenient referees in Europe with an average booking make-up of under 22. Nothing here to suggest the line should be so much higher. Maybe a line of 30 would be more in line given the evenly matched nature of this tie.

Buy bookings for 0.1pts a point @38 Chelsea v Marseille (Sportingindex): DeBleekere on the other hand has averaged nearly 46pts a game since the 05/06 season. Easy to see 5 or 6 cards here in what will be a tighter match than most people expect.

1.5pts under 2.5 goals - Auxerre v Real @1.825 (bet365): Real have conceeded 2 goals in 8 games so far this season and are not nearly so gung-ho under Mourinho. They are playing away from home against one of the most defensive teams in France. Everything points to a low scoring affair.

0.8pts Real to win 1-0 @ 7.0 (betfair)
0.8pts Real to win 2-0 @ 6/1 (Betfred)
0.4pts Real to win 3-0 @14.0 (betfair)
Real can prevail in what should be a tight affair and with 6 clean sheets behind them already back them to repeat the trick here without going to town on the opposition.

1.5pts Milan @3.25 (Betfair): there has been a massive gamble on Ajax today. Yesterday this game was very much a case of 7/4 each of 2 but in the fixed odds markets Ajax are now 7/5 and Milan are 9/4. The spread firms are holding firm on their opening chalks so I'l going to hope they are the one's that are right and bail in on Milan.

0.5pts e/w James Mackie to score first QPR v Millwall @ 9/2 (bet365): Has really come into his own since signing for QPR. Has hit 8 in 8 so far this season including a brace in both of his last 2 games. Slight bit of value on him getting on the scoresheet again tonight.