Wednesday, 29 September 2010

CL Wednesday

OK not as much to get involved with tonight but a few lenient ref about so we'll have a little dabble there:

Sell booking @38 for 0.2pts per pt Man U v Valencia (betfair): Viktor Kassai has a lot of experience as a European referee and has never been one to brandish cards lightly. Averages under 30 points a game so get involved here.

Sell booking @39 for 0.15pts per pt Rangers v Bursaspor(Sportingindex): Gumienny doesn't have a huge amount of experience but a large portion of his games end with no bookings at all giving him an average make-up of 20pts.

Sell booking @36 for 0.15pts per pt Rubin v Barca(Sportingindex):I don't have much info on Cakir but on the 6 games I can find he has reffed he has given out a total of 6 yellow card averaging 10pts a game with 3 games being card free. That is enough to get us involved here.

1pt Schalke @ 2.7 (Betfair): I think people are over-reacting to Schalke's bad start to the season and they have improved in the last couple of games. Benfica are not a great team and for them to be rated so far above Schalke seems wrong to me (Schalke would be roughly 6/5 if teams were rated equal). Sportingindex have Schalke 0.25goals better than Benfica for this game which seems closer to the mark. Take advantage of the discrepancy in the fixed odds market and back the Germans.

0.5pts Werder Bremen @7.2 (Betfair): Again the strength of the German league seems underestimated here to me. Inter weren't exactly impressive drawing away to Twente while Werder showed a lot of resilience to come back from a horrendous start against Spurs the last day. A small bet on the Germans seems called for.

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