In the lower leagues I think sometimes people don't seem to realise that there is not the same spread in terms of ability between top and bottom as you often find in the premiership. Which means people seem to over-estimate the chances of a team fighting for the playoffs of winning a game versus some relegation fodder due to being anchored to the type of price you would get on a Liverpool v Blackburn game. I haven't gotten around to doin g the numbers on this yet but just from the amount of mis-pricings you see inthe lower leagues I think this has to be one of the explanations. More or less sums up all the bets below. Anyway on to the bets!
1pt Bournemouth 6/4 (Paddy POwer)
1pt Bury 3.9 (betfair)
1pt Rochdale 4.6(betfair)
1pt Wycombe 4.2(betfair)
0.5pt Tranmere 5.5(betfair)
0.5pt Exeter 9/2(lads)
1pt Model County Lass 16/1(Lads) Navan 2.45: No stand out performer in this race and her less fashionable connections are reflected in the price not her true ability
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