Wednesday, 13 March 2013

Waiting for Godot?

2 days down and our horses are now coming with their own ketchup and onions - some of them are literally playing chicken with immovable fences to avoid winning us cash. Surely it can't last. Can it? Our Conor's race can't come soon enough but in the meantime we'll have to make do with tomorrow fare.

I think connections have got it right with Dynaste in sending him for this. RSA was never his race and he should deliver the cash here. On formlines through the RSA winner and likely winner 1 out its hard to think that Texas Jack shouldn't be shorter but he may be racing the rest of these for the placepot. Prob a good race to take advantage of PP's MBS special of cashback if 2nd to the favourite.

1pt Dynaste win 13/8
2pts Texas Jack to place 3.5

Sam Winner may be the good thing people think in the pertemps but enough negativesat a price of 9/2 for me to look elsewhere if i washaving a bet. Possibly might throw some loose change on Ballybough Pat e/w at 18s if I get really desperate to get involved here but our cash can find better homes for itself on other races.

I really did try not to be so predictable in the Ryanair and try to find an alternative to the horse I really wanted to be backing in the Gold Cup, but the truth is there is none. First Lieutenant is the class of the field here given that Cue Card turns out again a little too soon after delivering our cash in the Ascot chase. Champion Court is horse I also really like normally but I think he may have left his season behind in the mud at Kempton over Christmas - definitely hadn't recovered from that when going down to Alasi last month. Only sentimentality could make me back Menorah against him and I'd struggle to make a case for any of the rest.

2pts win First Lieutenant 5/2

The World Hurdle is a race I was quite excited about - obviously now seeing how the week is going it only fills me with the dread of the amount of cash I am likely to lose on it but sure here goes anyway. It would be a bit disappointing if a potential Coral Cup candidate ended up being good enough to win this but Wonderful Charms connections will guarantee he goes off a single figure price which is not for me. The pick of the  Irish has to be Bog Warrior and I think regardless of the drying ground he'll see off Solwhit and Co. again. His name and he racing record may see him drift tomorrow and if he does get out towards 12s 14s I'll probably want a bit e/w. Oscar Whiskey and Reve De Sivola couldn't be more closely matched on form but this is not the race for Oscar Whiskey - if he was mine I'd keep him for the 2m4f at Aintree and given I think he doesn't quite see out the 3m in a true run championship race I guess that means we are going to have to put a stroke through RdS as well...besides why back RdS when you could back the horse that beat him 1 1/2ls at the festival here 3 years ago, a horse that went on to get within 1 1/4ls of the imperious Hurricane Fly in the 2011 CH before spending a whoe year figuring out he didn't jump fences very well. He may not last the trip here but rather take my chances on one that may not than one that definitely won't.

1.5pts ew Peddlars Cross 10/1

Take a well deserved break after his victory to count your cash and then prepare to unleash again in the X Country at the end of the day. As advised Tuesday Any Currency and Bostons Angel are the 2 to look out for here.

If by some miracle us or any of the aforementioned horses survive the day tomorrow I'll be back tomorrow to tell you how much I like Our Conor and think it is time to stop all this pussyfooting around and to start betting like men on him.

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