Time for the super sub

After a day 2 that would have put PSG to shame we are back on the redemption trail tomorrow. Fortunately it seems like the bookies seem intent on providing a few confidence restoring layups so lets crack on with the winners.

JLT:
A few weeks ago Yorkhill would have been many peoples idea of a certainty for this but a lot of flops from Closutton this week and hard to pile in at 11/8 with a few doubts hanging over the yard. Politilogue is the biggest lay of the week at 6/1 and I will be opposing him in the place market - 2 tripes to Cheltenham have seen him unseat and a 20th of 26 at the festival last year. Disko has the ideal trip but think he is a little bit flattered by his win against Our Duke the last day (who I suspect needs a proper stamina test to be seen at his best) and combined with Meades questionable festival record I can easily pass over him. Only really leaves Top Notch who has progressed nicely over the season and is coming into his own over fences now despite needing a ladder to see over most of them. A festival record of 2nd in a Triumph and 5th in a much better Champion Hurdle than this week's makes him a confident pick to finally get his win here tomorrow. Given the doubts over the others at the top of the market it is worth getting with Flying Angel to run into a place. Very solid if not spectacular and was 2nd in the Martin Pipe last year before running Yorkhill to 3 lengths at Aintree.

2pts ew Top Notch 4/1
2pts place Flying Angel 3.9

Pertemps:
Haven't spent a whole lot of time on this one but had my attention drawn to Golden Doyen by a shrewdie that has. Hard to argue with it given he has won 2/3 at the track and touched off For Good Measure in October here giving 8lbs away. Only gives away 5lbs tomorrow and is twice the price of the JP pick.

1pt ew Golden Doyen 16/1

Ryanair:
Plenty of reasons to oppose Un de Sceuax from stable form to trip or just the ground. On the flip side its hard to see Empire of Dirt not being punted into favourite tomorrow with Elliotts horses flying and EOD touted as a Gold Cup contender after his Leopardstown run the last day. Add in a festival victory and I am nearly tempted to back him in the knowledge he WILL start shorter. That said neither would be my pick. I think EOD probably will be seen at his best over 3m plus and looking at the 2m4f specialists in the field its O'Learys other runner that jumps out. Having run both Djackadam and Sizing John to 2.5Ls on his last 2 runs its hard to argue that he should be so much bigger than EOD here (similar form vs Outlander). Josses Hill will run his race and could get some place money. Uxizandre is priced off pre-injury form and must be treated with care at such a short price.

2pt ew Sub Lieutenant 15/2

Stayers Hurdle
All about Uknowwhatimeanharry who is the class of the field. I think he will win but at around 5/4 he's not exactly value. If the Mullins horse started winning again I would definitely want to get Shaneshill onside each way but Jezki is almost certainly not the horse he was and Nichols Canyon almost certainly doesnt stay. That only really leaves Cole Harden who showed enough the last day to suggest he might go close to repeating his heroics of 2 years ago.  We'll like only be collecting place money here but think its definitely the most solid bet in the race.

1pt ew Cole Harden 15/2

Mares:
Another race that revolves around the form of Willies stable and again with a few winners early on the card its easy to make a case for doing a forecast with the 2 market leaders here. Given the doubts though and the fact that Willie has 3/5 of the market leaders it probably pays to look elsewhere for the value and La Bague Au Roi (who using a strict line of form through Dusky Legend is not far off Limini in terms of ability) makes the most appeal at 9/1

2pts win La Bague Au Roi

Kim Muir:
Not one for punting more than pennies on but What's Happening is 2/2 at the course and has a reasonable jockey on board which is enough for me here.

0.5pts ew What's Happening 14/1