Tuesday, 15 March 2011

Stick to Plan A

Tomorrow looks a pretty tough card to sort out and I don't see anything worth more than a small speculative bet.

NH Chase:
I was on the verge of putting up Pearlysteps however despite running a good 3rd here last time out the comments wouldn't fill you with confidence:
'Chased leaders, hit 7th and 10th, blundered 11th, hit 3 out, rallied from next, chasing leaders when hit last, one pace'
There are only so many jumping mistakes you can hope to get away with in a 4 mile slog.
Chamirey is one whose jumping may improve with the slower pace but enough doubts to steer clear. Aberdale is a little inexperienced but jumps well and looks like he could progress but finding it hard to avoid CHICHAGO GREY. The classiest horse in the field and wasn't far beaten in a G1 last time by the under-rated Bostons Angel. If he stays he should win this. Also has the bonus of not being ridden by a clown (this is an amatuer riders race). seems to have been backed overnight unfortunately but in the absence of anything else he is worth a small bet.

Coral Cup;
A lot of cash has come for Ballyhaunis which is a pity as he is a nice horse but the value is probably gone. Hard to get away from FOR NON STOP though. Relatively lightly raced he found only Grand Crus better than him at Cheltenham in December and had a good run in the Challow Hurdle when 2 1/4Ls behind yesterdays winner Al Ferof. TIGER O'TOOLE is a horse who can run well at a bigger price and he did nothing wrong when beating Walkon the last day.

Fred Winter:
PLAN A ticks all the boxes here. Had Titan de Sarti 8Ls back here in November when best of the rest behind Sam WInner and Grandouet. Never broke a sweat getting off the mark the last day and has been laid out for this. Kayef has improved a lot since his debut here in December and might just do enough to get involved in the finish.

Bumper:
You are on your own for this. My advice would be to get an early start on Paddy's Day and head to the pub for this rather than the bookies.

0.5pts Chicago Grey 5/1 (general)
1pte/w For Non Stop 7/1 (bet365)
0.25 pts e/w Tiger O'Toole 25/1 (bet365, VC, WH)
1pt e/w Plan A 6/1 (bet365 - 5 places)
0.5pts e/w Kayef 22/1 (bet365 - 5 places)

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