Nice solid day today with 2 winners and profit on
every race, but lets not get carried away yet – its half time and theres
a lot more racing to come including my bt of the week… but that’s not
until Friday.
Hopefully we can dig out a few winners in tomorrows card first which on the whole looks a tougher ask than today.
JLT Novices:
I have an ante-post slip on Wonderful Charm for
this but apparently he had a setback a few weeks back and not had the
ideal preparation for this. Not a race I think the Irish can win
with Felix Yonger looking overhyped although
he should improve for the better ground after getting turned over in
the mud the last 2 times. I don’t see that much between him and the
possibly under-rated Djackadam but would be surprised if either are good
enough to win this. Mozoltov could spring a shock but I doubt it.
Of the English Oscar Whisky has pretty much beaten
everyone else although was getting 8lbs from Wonderful Charm when he won
by 1/2l over course and distance. I think 2m5f on good ground is his
perfect conditions and people who talk of him
not being a festival horse should remember he was 3rd to
Hurricane Fly in a Champion Hurdle here 3 years ago before being sent
over distances to long for him. At the age of 9 he’s not getting any
younger but I still think this is his chance for
the festival win he deserves although if Wonderful Charm is 100% he’ll
have a proper battle on his hand. Taquin du Soleil might make a clean
sweep of the places for the English here and isn’t far off Oscar Whisky
on previous form.
1pt e/w Oscar Whisky 6/1
Pertemps:
As close to no opinion as possible. But If In Doubt
was ½l off Fingal Bay the last time when only out for a jog. Large
chance of a bounce from Fingal Bay on his second run back from a long
layoff (although even top weight might not stop
him if he is as good as he used to be) Tentatively put a few shillings
on If In Doubt.
.25pts e/w If In Doubt 8/1
Ryanair:
One of the easiest races of the meeting to analyse.
Beneficient jumped like a stag last year when beating Dynaste by 3
1/2ls to win the Jewson – no reason to expect any change in the result
this year. A lot of other horses are here after
Plan A didn’t work out which is not the ideal preparation and can be
readily discounted.
2pts e/w Beneficient 4/1
World Hurdle:
Where to start? The 4 times champ or the 2014
champion. Lets start with Big Bucks, a machine of a horse with 4 titles
but 11yo and coming back from an injury he was flattered by how bad the
competition was the last day in the Cleeve when
Knockara Beau (who doesn’t even line up here) put the nail in afew of
these runners title ambitions. At Fishers Cross seems to have forgotton
how to jump this year and I suppose you could make the case he was
comfortable the best horse in the Cleeve jumping
aside but with 12 hurdles from start to finish for him to attempt to
demolish it’s hard to justify getting involved here.
I think for the second time this week in
Championship races McCoy has got it wrong. More of that actually looks
like a proper 3m hurdler who has posted a couple of big runs this year
and has the most room for improvement of any of these.
I’m a big fan of this horse but unfortunately for him due to the
quality of the Champion Hurdle he now has to race against the best mare
since Dawn Run (and I include my nemesis Quevega in that). 10/10 she’s
never even been off the bridle to beat some top
class opponents. I really can not see her getting beaten. The trip is
an unknown but she looks like she should stay.
Fortunately Paddy Power are giving us a way to cash
in either way – Moneyback if second to Annie Power (max 50). So I will
take her to win and have an ew cover on More of That
2.5pts win Annie Power 6/4 now but hopefully some bookie will try to take her on in the morning and we get 7/4
1 pt ew More of That 10/1
Byrne Plate:
No strong opinions here. Third Intention looks like the right profile around the 14/1 but a nominal interest if any for me.
Kim Muir:
I was impressed with the way Indian Castle beat
Annacotty on trials day and is a worthy favourite. Find someone offering
5 places and have a nibble.
0.5pts Indian Castle 7/1
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