OK another small profit eeked out with a few disappointments along the way. Unfortunately due to othe committments it is going to be a fairly short blog tonight but the plan is to try and find time between Ukrainian riots to tweet any thoughts on the other races if I have time to pick through them. The dormant @Gambrose888 will have anything not covered here.
Albert Barlett:
Might as well start with my bet of the week. See this as a 2 horse race and have been holding off on having a bet until the mountain of cash looking to get long Briar's Hill has had an impact on the price. This guy could go off evens favourite creating massive value on Kings Palace. 2 runs at Cheltenham (including one over this distance) and 2 wins by a combined 32 lengths. Briar's Hill has good form too but winning the bumper here is no guarantee of future festival success. I really see it as a race between the 2 of them but with Kings Palace 3 times the price of Briars Hill he has to be backed. Also given his price and how far clear these 2 should be of the rest I'll be going ew here too. He's 7/2 currently but I'd be pretty confident that 4s will be offered at some point on him tomorrow.
5pts e/w Kings Palace 7/2 or better
Gold Cup:
I sided with Bob's Worth against Silviniaco Conti last year and despite a less fluent preparation this year I think he will maintain his phenomenal Cheltenham record. Have never quite talked myself around to being an SC fan and he prob looks slightly flattered by his King George win when Cue Card stopped dead. At the current prices I can readily oppose him. Likewise with Last Instalment, after 2 years off the track this will be his 3rd race in 60 days and without an in depth knowledge of the drugs that were found in Fentons yard I would imagine he is likely not to show his best here today. His stablemate on the other hand probably is not quite good enough to win this and should run well enough to claim a place. First Lieutenant has a festival record of 122 with only Bobs Worth and Cue Card beating him - expect to see him close to his best and making the frame even if not quite doing enough to bring home the cup. Another horse who is probably overpriced is The Giant Bolster who has been 2nd and 4th in the last 2 Gold Cups. He won the Argento here back in Jan and another big run is expected here. Hopefully he can do enough to edge into a place.
1pt Bob Worth 2/1 or better
1.5pts First Lieutenant to place BSP
0.5pts The Giant Bolster to place BSP
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