Triumph:
Allmankind will go off hard and I don't really see him being caught by any of these. He'll have them out of their comfort zone early and will outstay them to the line.
2pts win Allmankind 5/1
Albert Bartlett:
Latest Exhibition is a great bet here. Have been looking forward to punting him all week and with the second place from Leopardstown re-opposing here he presents a great opportunity to repeat the forecast glory of 2 years ago - if you only have 1 bet this week this should be it.
3pts win Latest Exhibition 9/2
1pt e/w Cobbler's Way 14/1
1pt reverse forecast
Gold Cup:
Delta Work and progressed nicely all season and can turn around last years defeat where he got crowded at a key point on the run in before finishing well just behind Santini
2pts ew Delta Work
Foxhunter:
Caid du Berlais looks too big here for a horse that has been in solid form for over 2 years this race last year apart. Was only 3 lengths off victory 2 years ago so less concerned about last years tame effort
1.5pts ew Caid du Berlais 14/1
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Thu, Mar 12, 9:05 PM (10 hours ago)
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county hurdle
if you're still reading my hcap thoughts you are either an optimistic man or hope for a hint as to where I live so you can attack me with a sack of doorknobs! alas, we go again! first selection here has the following attributes - hendo, Nico, handicap debut, huge reputation based on previous prices in g1 race, handicap debut and best of all......the hendo wind op!!!!! RATHHILL is the nag in question. fav for the tolworth last yr but bogged down in mud so cab be forgiven. raging fav for big down royal hcap but last - something clearly amiss. cut cut snip snip and here we are. 25s for a chelt handicap where he simply has to be better than the mark he's on. would prefer if Barry rides as a sign of supreme yard confidence but at the price, happy to hope Barry is just wrong. the hipsters will be doing wind ops next if this lad wins
also want to punt SCARAMANGA at a jumbo price here. simple case - drying ground. a highly impressive win came between two poor soft ground & heavy ground runs this season. Clearly ground is key as the evidence seems to show and Nicholls has said the same himself. Timeform also agree, saying his run in the Ladbroke was full of promise till he got bogged down. Nicholls has said before how an out and out gallop should also bing more from this guy. highly progressive profile if you work off good ground form. carver a very good claim too
1.5 its ew Rathhill 25s
1 pt ew Scaramanga 50s
Grand annual
Greanenteen Lisp and Chosen Mate could all have a lot in hand. But the market has them well pegged so not much juice there. Im going to plump for cd form with small stakes. CROCO BAY won this last year having been placed twice. His run the last day was excellent and as good as his win last year on any figures. But it bumps him up another few pounds. More than likely one of the 3 top ones does him but he could drift to quite a nice ew price / place price tomorrow as he was friendless last year when winning (160 BFSP). If you can be patient, hold on till tomorrow. Will run his race as ever should run into a place
Theinval is another with excellent cd form on drying ground. Only performs in the spring and I can't let him pass in his optimum conditions for Hendo. Possibly over the hill but no evidence of that just yet and I'm willing to pay to find out
0.75 pts ew Theinval 33s
0.75 pt ew Croco Bay 33s OR 2 pts place only
Martin Pipe
Jockeys are key here. all conditionals - if you have a claim normally, you can't use it here. so you are at disadvantage against your "better" rivals who can't claim anymore, unlike you normally would every week. Jonjo, donie Mac, Kev brouder and Darragh okeefe the best so. Jonjo & doc ride front two in mkt but can they get much shorter than they are? The overnight market is a concern for my two selections but as we are seeing this week, the only real market that matters is the chaotic last 5 minutes on Betfair. the moves & money there this week is enormous and entertaining in their own right. therefore, I will plough on with willie & Charles Byrnes 'drifters'.
GREAT WHITE SHARK was 3s for a top staying handicap at Galway & just denied. grund has come right and think last two runs were preps for this - last one in particular was much better than on paper - do Mac rides. DOCTOR DUFFY could be exposed & this could be an alternative having failed to qualify for the Pertemps. Or, Charles Byrnes could have been scheming away! Either way, he has one of the best pilots, cd form behind yesterdays unlucky coral plunge horse and Byrnes is god!
0.75 pt ew Great White Shark 40s
0.75 its ew Doctor Duffy 33s
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