Monday, 22 March 2010

After adjusting to allow for us losing a point more on Tidal Bay than I had allowed the weekends football brings us up to +98.78pts. More football betting this weeks with some value on the to qualify markets in the european cups.

3pts Wolfsburg to qualify @ 5/6 (ladbrokes): Have home advantage in the 2nd leg which is key. Fulham are perhaps slightly flattered by their win over a shambles of a Juve team who were reduced to 10 men early on. Last years German champions are the better team and with the 2nd leg at home look great value to progress.

1pt Standard Liege to qualify @ 5/2 (Ladbrokes): Again home advantage in the 2nd leg can prove key. Liege are underestimated and a 4-1 victory over an under-rated Panathanikos side is not to be sniffed at especially a 3-1 away win. They have improved enough in the last 2 years to be a rel danger to this Hamburg side.

1.5pts Wolves to win @ 5.3 (Betfair): Wolves are a point ahead of West Ham yet WH go into this game as 4/5 favourites. That does not make sense. They should be out about 6/5 -5/4. Wolves might just surprise everyone this season and stay up. Definitely at bigger than 4/1 here they are worth a shot.
1pt Wolfsburg to win Europa League @ 7/1 (general): The 3 top teams are in the other half of the draw. Wolfsburg will have have home advantage in the 2nd leg again if they reach the semi-final. I don't think they will win that final although it also must be remembered that the final will be played just down the road in Hamburg.

2.5pts Bordeaux to qualify @ evns (general): Bordeaux are 5 pts clear of Lyon in Le Championnat with a game in hand. They also have home advantage in the second leg. They should be somewhere in the 4/6 - 8/11 range. I think Lyon knocking out Real and their previous European predigree are causing them to be over-rated for this clash.

No comments:

Post a Comment