3pts Jackson to win Mens 400m @ evens (Paddy Power): Irelands David Gillick is kind of making the market here. It is unfortunate for him that he had to check his stride going into the 3rd bend in yesterdays semi-final - something which cost him 1st in his heat (just) and landed him in lane 3 denying him what would have been a favourites chance at gold here. Jackson is no certainty but with a nice outside draw you would fancy this hurdler to take full advantage and get a good position off the break leaving a lot to do for the other challengers.
3pts Debbie Dunn to the Womens 400m @ 11/10 (Boyles): barely broke a sweat winning her semi last night and with 3 400m races in 2 days that combined with her nice draw makes this bet irresistable.
1pt e/w Are You the One in 1.05 Limerick @ 7/2 (Paddy Power): can take advantage of any weakness this very highly hyped favourite has
1pt e/w King Edmund in 4.15 Sandown @ 5/1 (Sportingodds): Both him and the favourite are classy horses who lost nithing in defeat against Long Run and Punchestown respectively the last time out. I think the bare 2 miles will suit King Edmund better with Tchico Polos racing over longer recently. Also there is value in the race due to the prominence of Joe Jo Star in the betting based on him beating King Edmind the last day - however KE was beaten because he fought with Long Run for so oong and eventually paid the price. My main concern would actually be that after only 4 weeks this race is coming too soon after such a hard race for our selection, however as most of his rivals are in similar situations we will overlook that this once.
1.5pts Burnley @7/5 (totesport, Coral): I think the true price here should be about 11/10 - 6/5. Both teams have the same amount of points and every point in games like this is crucial to both sides. Burnley have relied on their home form to ensure there is still some hope of surviving at this stage and they can prevail again at home.
1pt Aston Villa @ 2.44 (Betfair): Very slightly too big a price on a Villa team with a lot more to play for than a dogged Stoke team that seem to be secure from relegation. With Man City and Liverpool not playing until tomorrow Villa will need to turn their games in hand into points to keep up the pressure on the other teams in the fight for 4th.
1pt Blackburn @ 8/1 (VC): I really am in two minds as to whether to back Rovers or lay Spurs. The 4/9 on Spurs seems very short especially given their injury worries. Whichever you prefer yourself I would suggest but Spurs need to be opposed. I am going to go with a Rovers win and hope for the scoop!
1.5pts Birmingham @ 9/4 (VC): People seem to have over-reacted to Everton's good form and Birmingham's slump. Nothing between these sides in the table, nothing major between them on goal diff (a very good indicator of false positions in the table) so why are B'ham 9/4 at home? Take a chance that Everton won't be scoring for fun again and that B'ham can grind out another result.
2pts Draw - Sevilla v Depor @ 11/4 (Boyles, Hills, tote): 5th v 6th promises to be a tight affair. With goals at a premium this looks much too big on these sides playing out a stalemate. The 5/1 on Depor edging it is also slightly tempting but we'll stick all our cash on the draw here as the best value.
1pt e/w Higuain to score first @ 7/2 (Skybet): Despite his heroic efforts not to deliver midweek, we will give him a chance to redeem himself against a team with 5 goals and 4 points in the last 10 games.
1pt Wales @ 5.0 (Betfair): I think Ireland will just about win this but the difference in prices is much too big. Result have been a harsh reflection on the Welsh performances so far and I expect they will give us a proper game today. As for the other game I'm sure there are re-runs of Neighbours or Judge Judy on that will allow you avoid watching that misery.
4pts Denman w/o Kauto @ 7/4 (Celtic): Lunacy - has somebody cut off one of Denmans legs without it making the headlines?
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