Tuesday, 30 March 2010

Draw some comfort

Pretty poor weekend but there is plenty of European football this week to get us over that hiccup. As in the last round we will be concentrating on the tendancy for more draws in the first legs of these ties:

0.3pt Yankee Draw in each CL QF (23/10, 9/4, 12/5, 3/1 - Coral)
3pts Draw Lyon v Brodeaux @9/4 (tote, Coral) - looks the most evenly matched game and given the high proportion of draws in the French league anyway this looks massive.
2pts Draw Bayern v Man Utd @ 23/10 (tote, Coral) - a score draw would probably suit both sides. United will want to get an away goal and despite their limitations Bayern at home are always a tough prospect especially given some of the individual talent they have.
2pts Draw Arsenal v Barcelona @ 12/5 (Coral) - not going to be the cavalier goal fest that people expect - Barcelona can grind out results when necessary and Guardiola knows a draw is a good resilt to bring home with the second leg in the Camp Nou.
2pts Draw Inter v CSKA @ 4.7 (Betfair) - Inter are way too short here. CSKA do not get the credit they deserve and have turned into a decent team the past few seasons. Also since the Chelsea game Inter have been on a rotten run of form.

First leg games also have less bookings than average and although the referee in the Utd game is relatively card happy Brych who refs the Lyon game has reffed 13 games at UEFA and FIFA level during which he has issued a paltry 21 yellows and 1 red. I assume the line is only so high as it is being priced as a derby game.

Sell bookings @ 44 for 0.3pts a card (Sporting Index)

0.75pts e/w Wayne Rooney to score first @ 4/1 (Paddy Power) - has carried the Utd team this season and if they do get the win the bookies expect it's likely he will be on the scoresheet. Add in the PP special that if Utd come from behind to win they will refund you bet - also I think they are paying double odds if he scores twice but I'm not 100% on that.





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