Weekend Soccer

Wheels came off midweek but a Villa goals just kept us above the double mark at +100.56pts. Two things to mention before I start. Firstly I was wrong about goal difference being a deciding factor in La Liga which could be key to some betting decisions in later weeks (in the case of a tie head to head is the deciding factor.) Also although I haven't put a huge amount of betfair prices on here I have been allocating full credit in the case of a win ignoring commission - in future the max commission of 5% will be deducted to winnings.

1.5pts Stoke @ 4.0 (Betfair): They are 9pts clear with a game in hand of a West Ham team who are looking a shambles and at this stage you have to think the players just want to end the drama and get themselves a new boss - ignore David Gold's 'vote of confidence' and expect to see Zola down the dole office on Thursday.

1pt Everton 11/10 (general): 17pts clear of Wolves and finally starting to build a bit of momentum. They have scored nearly twice as many goals as Wolves this season and that can be decisive today.

2pts Sevilla @ 12/5 (VC): Despite their recent slump Sevilla are still 8pts clear of Villareal. A change in coach can see them regain the winning thread.

1pt Draw Chelsea v Villa @ 5.2(Betfair): Chelsea cannot be 2/5 for a game against another team fighting for a CL spot however the fact that M. O'Neill has never won a PL game in March - EVER does slightly put us off backing Villa. It is obviously a statistical anomaly but there could be some truth in it when you consider that O'Neill always tends to be working with small squads of players that over -perform for large parts of the season and then perhaps hit a wal due to lack of rotation. Having eliminated both other options I guess it makes sense to have a small interest in Villa grinding out another draw at big odds.

Weekend racing to follow